The decision lifecycle

Follow a decision, end to end.

One 3% tuition case, from the first trendline to the published record. Five stages, four rooms, and a real artifact left behind at every one — the brief, the pack, the ballot, the vote, the record. Everything on this page is the shipped product, not the roadmap.

Explore the data

before the first room
who touches it · budget office · institutional research

Every tuition case begins the same way: not as a motion, but as a suspicion in the budget office that net tuition revenue is softening. Before anyone books a room, the work lives in the evidence — your institution’s own twelve-year trendline, twelve years of IPEDS across six thousand institutions, College Scorecard outcomes reaching back to 1996. The analyst is not making the argument yet; she is finding out whether the suspicion survives contact with the data.

The evidence is wider than one line. A peer set built on enrollment, control, geography, and mission shows where your discount rate and your net price actually sit — against the peers who matter, not a Carnegie class that happens to contain you. Program-level completions and Scorecard earnings show which parts of the catalog carry the tuition argument and which strain it. And the financial ratios the case will eventually be judged by — CFI, viability, primary reserve, computed from the IPEDS finance surveys — are read the way your accreditor will read them, whether you did it first or not.

Then the forecast: five models run against your own history, backtested, the winner named, the projection shown inside its confidence band. Every number arrives cited to its source and its year — so when the case later meets a room full of trustees, no figure in it has to be defended from memory.

artifact · the forecast — bands, winning model named

Frame the case

cabinet
who touches it · president · provost · CFO — the cabinet

Framing is the stage most institutions skip without noticing. The evidence says something should be decided; the cabinet decides what, exactly — the rate, the effective date, the options genuinely on the table, and the rooms that must weigh in before the board sees it. A case framed loosely comes apart in the second room. A case framed once, precisely, survives all four.

Athena writes the decision brief from the framing: the question, the options, the stakes, each figure cited. From this moment the case exists as a thing — not an email thread and a draft nobody owns, but a case with a name, an owner, and a route. Everything that happens after this attaches to it: every recommendation, every referral back, every question a trustee asks, and eventually the vote itself.

artifact · the decision brief

Prepare the materials

budget committee → finance committee
who touches it · budget office · budget committee · finance committee

Athena writes the board pack in the afternoon: the motion and the recommended action on the first page, then background, financial and strategic impact, the forecast inside its band with the winning model named, the risks — and, at the back, the ballot the trustees will actually vote on. The document that took the budget office three weeks now takes the afternoon, which means the committees spend their meetings testing the case instead of waiting for it.

The pack’s anatomy is not ours — it is borrowed, deliberately, from the boards that publish their materials. Maryland’s regents put five fields on the first page of every item so a trustee knows in ten seconds what is being asked and by whom. Minnesota’s regents publish a page-indexed docket, so “see page 12” is a real instruction. And Washington’s regents keep a rule worth engraving: nothing goes on the screen that is not in the pack — the materials are the meeting.

Board item · cover sheet
TopicFY 2028 undergraduate tuition — 3% increase, effective fall term
CommitteeFinance — recommendation of record attached
Fiscal impact+$3.8M net tuition revenue (FY 2028), inside the forecast band
Recommended actionApprove the 3% adjustment as presented
Submitted byVP Finance & Administration, with the cabinet
The cover sheet — the five fields Maryland’s regents put on page one of every item.
Docket · the 3% tuition case
Motion & recommended actionp. 1
Decision brief — the question, the options, the stakesp. 2
Twelve-year trend & forecast, band and model namedp. 5
Peer position — net price, discount ratep. 9
Risks & committee recommendations of recordp. 12
Ballotp. 14
The docket — page-indexed, the way Minnesota’s regents publish theirs.
House rule

Nothing goes on the screen that is not in the pack.

If it matters enough to project, it is in the materials — the pack is the meeting, and the record keeps what the room actually saw.

The no-projected-content rule, kept by Washington’s regents.
artifact · the board pack · the ballot

Decide

full board
who touches it · the full board · chair · board secretary

By the time the case reaches this room it has survived three others. Quorum is confirmed, the ballot is published, and the room votes — a QR code on the screen, phones out, the tally landing live as the votes come in. When the chair closes it, the count is the count: every vote of record, any dissent entered by name, the whole thing attached to the case it decided.

The distinction the register never blurs: committees recommend, boards vote. Both are first-class records here, kept by body — so the register always shows who said what, in which room, in which capacity. A recommendation is not a ratification, and a board that splits is not a governance failure; it is the record working.

artifact · the QR vote · the tally

Publish the record

after the vote
who touches it · board secretary — then everyone who asks later

Most institutions remember a decision three ways: a line in the minutes, a cell in a spreadsheet, and a paragraph in a memo — each slightly different, none authoritative. Here the decision leaves one canonical record, published: the motion, the vote, the named dissent, the reason, with the case’s whole journey behind it — the brief, the pack, each room’s recommendation, the question a trustee asked in February and the answer it got.

The record is for the people who arrive later: next year’s cabinet re-opening the question, the accreditor asking how the decision was governed, the new trustee who wants to know why. A question that outlives the packet cycle does not outlive the record.

artifact · the published record

Walk it with a case of your own.

A walkthrough is exactly this page, live: one decision of yours, carried through all five stages, with the artifacts on the table.