Explore the data
before the first roomEvery tuition case begins the same way: not as a motion, but as a suspicion in the budget office that net tuition revenue is softening. Before anyone books a room, the work lives in the evidence — your institution’s own twelve-year trendline, twelve years of IPEDS across six thousand institutions, College Scorecard outcomes reaching back to 1996. The analyst is not making the argument yet; she is finding out whether the suspicion survives contact with the data.
The evidence is wider than one line. A peer set built on enrollment, control, geography, and mission shows where your discount rate and your net price actually sit — against the peers who matter, not a Carnegie class that happens to contain you. Program-level completions and Scorecard earnings show which parts of the catalog carry the tuition argument and which strain it. And the financial ratios the case will eventually be judged by — CFI, viability, primary reserve, computed from the IPEDS finance surveys — are read the way your accreditor will read them, whether you did it first or not.
Then the forecast: five models run against your own history, backtested, the winner named, the projection shown inside its confidence band. Every number arrives cited to its source and its year — so when the case later meets a room full of trustees, no figure in it has to be defended from memory.